While processing the update on the Dagne motorcycle a thought resurfaced. One thing that's necessary for the EV Industry to take off is that there be trained low level EV technicians just as today there are a wide range of technicians for servicing oil burning vehicles. While electric vehicles tend to be very reliable they can and do break. Nothing is perfect and as the Buddha said everything in the manifest universe is impermanent. I think he really said the only permanence is impermanence.
In todays context we face two major challenges both of which stem largely from the abundance of gasoline driven cars on American roads. On one hand the U.S. and the world is facing high oil prices a looming shortage of oil as oil fields around the world go into depletion. On another hand the whole world is facing a global environmental catastrophe that's destabilizing environmental conditions world-wide. On yet another hand (we must be from Mars) the U.S. style of building cities is wasteful of land and ties our hands to possible solutions because of the highway infrastructure.
Earlier today while talking with a colleague she asked me for advice about different kinds of electric vehicles. She's thinking about getting some kind of scooter to tide her over until full size electric cars are available (e.g. Chevy Volt) and since I've owned several small electric vehicles that probably means I have some useful advice to give.
Let's start by cutting the field into some major clumps:-
Brad Templeton is a high tech pioneer, having been involved with some of the very earliest attempts to commercialize the Internet. This makes him an entrepeneur, and he has published a series of articles outlining a vision of robotically driven cars that can improve human safety on the road and reduce or eliminate the poisonous emissions produced by normal cars. In reading this I remember that I met Brad once, sometime around 1993, during a job interview while he was running ClariNet. He offered me the job but for some reason I turned it down. Oh well.
Plug-in hybrids generate buzz in San Jose The Plug-in 2008 conference was just held in San Jose and there were several great things announced, demonstrated, and discussed. General Motors is now developing a type of plug-in car called the Volt, which the company plans to start selling in 2010. GM also plans a plug-in version of the Saturn Vue sport utility vehicle. Ford has its own plug-in program, as do Toyota and Daimler.
Google.org gives electric cars a push, with investments in Aptera and ActaCell Google.org is Google's not-exactly-charity arm of their operations. Since Google believes in not being evil I suppose they want to use Google.org to do some good things for the world.
I guess a technology writer understands "format war" and spun the article this way, giving it a subtitle of 'Prius-ray vs Dominant Volt Drive?' In any case they say that the Japanese automakers are presenting for consideration a potential "worldwide standard" for automotive Li-ion batteries and related technologies. It may be a bit too early to standardise on specific Li-Ion chemistries so hopefully the standard they propose will be flexible enough to accomodate the variety of Lithium based battery chemistries which are being developed.
The Voice of Officialdom: "Volkswagen's top researcher warned Saturday, July 19 that pure electric cars would not became a major product for decades, because they continue to be thwarted by battery technology. " ...the key problems were gaining adequate range, the huge cost and a lack of industrial capacity to make high-energy batteries.
They plan to bring out an electric car, a very small car, in 2010.
Yesterday Al Gore, the former Next President of the United States, made a speech which laid down a moonshot style of challenge to Americans. It's a cool challenge but one which would personally enrich him because he is now a venture capitalist focusing on renewable energy and environmental solutions. Also, why did he place this challenge only on Americans? It is a global problem. Still, a very interesting speech, one which personally excites me..
Andrew Grove, former CEO of Intel, had a editorial in todays San Jose Mercury News about electric vehicles. He says: "Energy independence is the wrong goal...." Many politicos use this phrase as a talking point and it sounds likely, but... he suggests instead "We must strengthen our energy resilience by increasing our reliance on electricity." The problem is, as he says, to the extent the U.S. "energy" is derived from oil which is increasingly only available from unstable regimes in the middle east, it is folly for the U.S. to be addicted to oil (as G.W. Bush said).